Reference

Prediction market glossary

Prediction-market glossary: implied probability, spread, liquidity, slippage, resolution, limit orders, market orders, and outcome contracts.

Implied probability
A common reading of an outcome-contract price. A Yes price of $0.63 is often described as 63% market-implied probability; it is not a promise.
Outcome contract
A contract tied to a written question and resolution rule. Read the exact conditions before assessing its price.
Bid and ask
A bid is a standing offer to buy; an ask is a standing offer to sell. The difference between the best bid and best ask is the spread.
Spread
Gap between best visible buy and sell prices. A wider spread can make entering or exiting more expensive.
Liquidity
Amount available to trade near current prices. A market can show a price without enough depth for a larger order at that price.
Slippage
Difference between an expected price and average fill price, often caused by limited depth or a fast-moving market.
Limit order
Order that states the worst price you accept. It can remain open, fill partly, or not fill.
Marketable order
Order that seeks available liquidity immediately. Its fill price can vary with current spread and depth.
Resolution
Process used to determine which outcome wins under the market's written rules and stated source.

Continue with prediction-market odds, liquidity, and order-book mechanics.

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