Price
A position can lose value.
Liquidity
An order may fill at a different price.
Resolution
Written rules decide the outcome.
Access
Rules and eligibility can change.
This is a practical checklist, not investment, legal, or tax advice.
Prediction markets can be useful for following expectations about real events. They also involve real financial risk. A careful reader understands the risks before deciding whether to participate.
Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice.
Risk is part of the product
An outcome contract can lose value quickly. If your chosen outcome does not win under the written rules, it may settle at zero. A price moving in your favour today does not remove that risk.
Only use money you can afford to lose. Do not trade to recover a loss, and do not rely on a prediction market for essential financial decisions.
Market and price risk
Prices can move when new information arrives or when traders change their views. A price may also move sharply in a thin market even when the underlying facts have not changed much.
Read how odds work, then check the order book before assuming a displayed price is available for your order.
Liquidity and order risk
Low liquidity can make it hard to enter or exit at the price you expect. An immediate order may fill across several prices. A limit order may remain open, fill only partly, or fail to fill.
Fees and minimum order sizes can also affect the result. Review venue-specific fee and order rules before trading.
Resolution and rule risk
The written resolution rules control the outcome. Markets can include dates, sources, definitions, and edge cases that differ from a casual reading of the title.
Read the rules before you trade. If an event is delayed or a source is unclear, resolution can take longer than you expect. Do not assume that a news report immediately settles a market.
Access and security
Availability can depend on jurisdiction, identity checks, venue policy, sanctions screening, and local law. Never use a VPN, false location, another person's account, or another method to evade restrictions.
Protect wallet credentials and recovery phrases. HBFmarket will never need your private key or recovery phrase. Use official links and verify the destination before signing anything.
A safer routine
- Read the question, rules, fees, and venue terms.
- Check price, spread, and liquidity.
- Start with an amount you understand and can afford to lose.
- Confirm the outcome and order type before signing.
- Keep records for your own tax and financial review.
Read What are prediction markets? for the basics, or visit support for product help.
Open HBFmarket terminalSources and further reading
Keep learning
What Are Prediction Markets?
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Learn what a non-custodial trading terminal does, what it does not do, and which responsibilities remain with you and the market venue.
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Learn how to use prediction markets responsibly: read the question, understand odds and liquidity, and check venue eligibility before submitting an order.
How to Evaluate a Polymarket Terminal
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